Per usual, ran out of time, so here’s the readers digest version . . .
Race 3-Filly and Mare sprint… Marley’s Freedom is the most likely winner, but at a price I would look at Mia Mischief who is game every time. If she can sit just off of the speed, she will get first run.
Race 4 Turf sprint… While I have been a big fan of Disco Partner for a long time, I have to fade here with soft turf and the way the course played on Friday. Would only use underneath.
I want pure speed, so I will go with World of Trouble, who I have had my eye on since Tampa Bay earlier in the year. Richard’s Boy and Stormy Liberal underneath.
The dirt mile is a glorified seven furlong race, at one turn at Churchill… I am fading City of Light here, and Catalina Cruiser will be too short for me to play though appears to be at the class of the field based on speed figures. I will take Firenze Fire, hopefully around 5 to 1, to get a good stalking trip.
In the Chad Brown Invitational, I will go with Fourstar Crook, who appears to be the now horse, and had great turn off foot over the course with the given in it last time. Santa Monica, and Eziya underneath.
Sprint – if the track is playing the same way I will take a stab with Promises Fulfilled to get a bit of a price… Speed to burn, and may not get caught. Limousine Liberal comes off of a tough trip, but is going to get bet at Churchill, Roy H and Imperial Hint will be right there at the wire as well
The Mile shapes up as extremely competitive race, but I don’t have a strong opinion.
The Distaff, I think Abel Tasman goes to lead and doesn’t look back.
In the turf, I’m going to take everyone’s word for it that Enable is the winner, and will simply tried to get something underneath her in the trifecta… Channel Maker, Glorious Empire, Robert Bruce, and Waldgeist
The Classic… I just can’t bring myself to play Thunder Snow at all based on his last run it at Churchill. They have pointed the horse here all year, if he beats me, so be it
I am going to try to beat Accelerate just on general principles that he is out of town, and drawn in the 14 post. Again not a huge shock if he were to win, but I’m just going to play against.
Playing Bob Baffert’s horses is not the most clever of opinions, but that’s where I am landing. I don’t 100% trust the speed figure that West Coast earned (only a 97) last time out… If that number is real he’s not fast enough to win anymore. Or he has to improve several lengths in order to be in the mix. Also, he has a penchant for finishing second, is a bit of a grinder who does not have an explosive finish.
This lead me to McKinzie, who I don’t love of of one prep, and I don’t quite believe the 107 Beyer that he earned at Philadelphia park. However, if he is 4-1 or above I believe that’s where my money will land, and I don’t think it’s out of the question that he gets a block or two from West Coast in helping to hang Accelerate wide.
Catholic Boy rates a look as well, a square price will make me strongly consider him as well. My most likely play in this race is exactas with this trio, as I don’t love any of them individually enough to make a significant play.
World of Trouble, Firenze Fire and Fourstar Crook will comprise my largest win bets of the day.
Good luck everyone, should be a great day of racing !