Monday Musings

Can I still be Monday musings if I actually put them on paper on Tuesday?

3-2 on the week against the super contest lines… Currently 41-27-2 for the year, 60.2 percent, and the Pegasus fund sits at $1180 based on 100 unit plays. Not bad.

Caught a couple of nice exactas at Gulfstream this weekend. Have had my eye on La Moneda since the summer in NY. She always gives you an honest run, and pairing her and Capla Temptress seemed pretty dang obvious to me.

I’m going to try to lend more attention to the turf af Gulfstream this meet. I have a notion that you don’t quite have monsters running there this time of year; there’s an opportunity for in-form horses to jump up and get a graded stakes, or horses that have been toiling against better to get a little class relief and outrun their odds.

I’m also messing around with some of my handicapping tools. The DRF has royally screwed up my account, to the point that I’m going to slide over and try Stats Race Lens for a few weeks. I have messed around with it a bit in the past and like the format. I need to do a better job with my trip and track notes. (IE- Gulstream’s golden rail on the dirt Saturday) to be able to take advantage of those against it next time out.

Truth be told, I use less data and more trip notes in my ‘capping these days, plus a bit of good old intuition and reading the tea leaves. When I do play race to race, I still believe the Beyer Figure is the most important tool, but I can probably scan those off a buddy’s form if needed.

I used Brisnet PPs about 15 years ago. Was interested the discrepancy in speed figures between Bris and Beyer from time to time. I was mainly playing tri keys in those days, and came up with some nice scores – perhaps because their data was showing something contrary to what the majority was looking at ?

Giddy up.

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