Monthly Archives: April 2021

Schaefer City

Posted on April 29, 2021 by turfcapper

Louisville may be the River City, or Falls City, or even the Derby City – but 48 hours before post time I feel like I’m sitting in Schaefer City . . . If you aren’t old enough to remember, Schaefer … Continue reading →

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How to Bet the Kentucky Derby (Special to Sports Chowdah)

Posted on April 27, 2021 by turfcapper

(Note: this piece special to the Sports Chowdah newsletter, intended for a general sports audience. Suggested wagers for smaller budgets, to capture a blend of probability and value.) The Kentucky Derby is a great introduction the world of horse-racing and … Continue reading →

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Welcome, Sports Chowdah readers!

Posted on April 26, 2021 by turfcapper

Thanks for checking out my work. Be sure to take a look at the 3-year old/Kentucky Derby rankings, the basis of the plays that are in the Sports Chowdah feature, and simply scroll back through the blog for some analysis … Continue reading →

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This Time Was ‘The Time’

Posted on April 12, 2021 by turfcapper

There are a million handicapping factors. I figure that number is about right. There are more than 1400 data points in each horse’s past performance line, and then you figure 8-12 horses in a race, 10 lines in each pp, … Continue reading →

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Rock Your Rankings

Posted on April 6, 2021 by turfcapper

Just one major Kentucky Derby prep remains, the Arkansas Derby.   Life, as it so often does, has intervened, so just a quickie to go with this week’s 3-year-old/Kentucky Derby rankings release.  One sentence on each of last week’s three races. … Continue reading →

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You Must Be Present to Win

Posted on April 2, 2021 by turfcapper

How many times have you heard that, whether for a 50-50 ticket at a high school basketball game, or for a door prize at a raffle or golf tournament. The same is often true with horse race handicapping. You must … Continue reading →

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