Tag Archives: Kentucky Derby

Onward to 2024

Today’s Smarty Jones at Oaklawn Park kicked off my campaign of tracking horses for the 2024 Kentucky Derby Continue reading

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It’s Rich Strike !!!

If you found him in the past performances, you hit the all button, or perhaps your name was rich. At the top of the stretch, I thought I was cashing. Epicenter made the lead, Crown Pride and Messier were fading … Continue reading

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One of my tools for the Kentucky Derby

Here’s a peek at one of the tools I’ve been messing with, which is a scatter plot generated by the handicapping app we are developing. The axis are based on speed and power ratings, and the upper right corner is … Continue reading

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Pre-Travers Rankings

The latest 3-year-old and Older-Horse/Handicap Division rankings are out. It’s been a while, as noted in the previous post, and outside of a couple of the older horses going to the sidelines, the shake up isn’t enormous. The 3-year-old/Kentucky Derby/Travers … Continue reading

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Schaefer City

Louisville may be the River City, or Falls City, or even the Derby City – but 48 hours before post time I feel like I’m sitting in Schaefer City . . . If you aren’t old enough to remember, Schaefer … Continue reading

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This Time Was ‘The Time’

There are a million handicapping factors. I figure that number is about right. There are more than 1400 data points in each horse’s past performance line, and then you figure 8-12 horses in a race, 10 lines in each pp, … Continue reading

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New Derby Rankings, Weekend Recap 3-31-2021

Fully half the field of our Derby Gate 8 is entered for this weekend, as we approach the Wood Memorial, The Blue Grass, and the Santa Anita Derby. Our three-year-old horse rankings were shuffled in the bottom half of the … Continue reading

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There’s a New Leader in the Clubhouse

Saturday afternoon saw a busy hour with three prep races for the 2021 Kentucky Derby, and a new favorite emerged. Bob Baffert’s Life Is Good stamped himself the prohibitive favorite for the Derby, running away from the field at the … Continue reading

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The Derby Trail Heats Up, March 2, New Shooter ?

Plenty of notes from a busy weekend of stakes action, we will start with the 3-year-old rankings, which have been updated. Essential Quality did little to hurt his number one ranking, winning well, taking his act on the road, and … Continue reading

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Lecomte, and introducing weekly 3-yo rankings

Today I’m launching a new feature, weekly three-year old rankings, that will track the class through their three-year old preps, from the Kentucky Derby all the way to the Travers, and then the Breeders Cup. The rankings will be their … Continue reading

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