I’ve been waiting to bet-back on Tacitus in the Belmont, almost since before the Kentucky Derby. I had him pegged as one of the ones for the Derby, but all along I had a sneaking suspicion that Tacitus was on a course mapped out to get him to the Belmont in good form.
Well, he has arrived, and is in good form . . . and unfortunately from a wagering standpoint, is the morning line favorite – which is not what I was anticipating nor hoping for.
The horse is tailor made for the course in terms of breeding and form, and figures to be able to determine where he wants to stalk from an outside post.
But at 2-1 I’m not sure that’s tasty enough to make my planned win bet. His speed figures are in line with War of Will (who hasn’t worked) and Sir Winston (who shows up). I think things are still leaning Tacitus’ way to fire his best shot, but I’ll likely try to press him as a strong A in multi race plays, and use the other two as B’s defensively.
More to come as I break down the full card.
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