Florida Derby

Have done less advance work on the card than planned, but in the Flordia Derby I’ll be taking a shot at Gouvenor Morris, if we get 6-1 or better.

On paper, Tiz The Law should be the best, but with the lone 100 beyer last time being a new top for him, and at a probable 6-5 price, I’d like to see him prove it with another win.

The disparity in last race beyers (87 for GM, 100 for TTL) isn’t overcomable if one of them proves to be a bit off.   GM has a nice improving pattern, and should be set up to run something in the 90s, and any regression, or even traffic trouble for TTL could be the difference.

Lots to be decided today, as Ete Indien can further stamp himself, though he’ll have to overcome the outside post again, and Independence Hall’s last race looks better on paper than video.

Still, win and place bets on Gouvernor Morris, and will use him in the picks alongside Tiz The Law.

Any other brilliant ideas will be on the Twitter feed. Let’s Cash !

 

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1 Response to Florida Derby

  1. turfcapper's avatar turfcapper says:

    Early reaction . . . . Tiz The Law proved he was best with a strong performance . . . . on a track that was inside speed favoring, he took care of business with a strong move at the top of the stretch. A good ride from Manny Franco, as the entire pack sat close to the pace. Social Paranoia showed serious late foot. Can’t wait to see what the Beyer comes back for that performance. Has to be considered among the best turfers at this point. March To The Arch finds traffic trouble every time. I think he would benefit from a pilot upgrade. Zulu Alpha was wide throughout and got beat a head. Probably an over aggressive ride from the outside post. Bemma’s Boy launched himself into the top class of turfers. Could have won by more with a bit less traffic. Put Walk In Marrakesh (Ire) in the playbacks book. Encountered trouble on the turn and checked, mild rally, then wrapped up and 5th or 6th when it was obvious that she couldn’t do better. Trouble line may get lost in the charts.

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