Tag Archives: Handicapping

Chaos Theory … Pray for Peace, Prepare for War

Posted on October 27, 2019 by turfcapper

Pray for peace but plan for war, the old saying goes. That seems to fit these three semi-idle weeks between the final preps and the breeders cup. I have two theories on this period of time. The first is chaos … Continue reading →

Posted in Breeders Cup, Handicapping, Horses, Saratoga Race Course | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Life As A Low Roller

Posted on September 2, 2019 by turfcapper

I have been interested in contest play for a while now, but the DRF folded their contest site just as I was looking to get involved, and several of the others ask for a $50 membership before you even have … Continue reading →

Posted in Handicapping, Horses, Saratoga Race Course, Summer | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Perfectly Wrong

Posted on August 25, 2019 by turfcapper

Well, that didn’t work. My spot play on Scars Are Cool did not pan out, as he ran a to a mid pack result about 10 lengths behind Code of Honor, who stamped himself as one of the two best … Continue reading →

Posted in Belmont, Breeders Cup, Handicapping, Horses, Saratoga Race Course, Summer, Travers | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Recognize the Pattern

Posted on August 23, 2019 by turfcapper

There’s one horse coming into the Travers with a pattern I love, and at the price I will have to play. The pattern is lightly-races, late developing three-year old, with three straight beyer increases. The horse is Scars are Cool. … Continue reading →

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How much is enough ?

Posted on August 4, 2019 by turfcapper

Had two playbacks yesterday at Saratoga, in McKinzie and Red Zinger. McKinzie won and paid 3.70 and 2.70. Red Zinger was second and paid 5.50 to show. Based on my well established 1x win and 1.6x place betting strategy, that … Continue reading →

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Oh Canada !

Posted on July 25, 2019 by turfcapper

I spent just enough time in Rochester NY earlier in life to appreciate having Fort Erie on the Simulcast at the Henrietta Road OTB, where I would often take lunch late so I could dip in and bet an exacta … Continue reading →

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Hey Hey, It’s A Wild Weekend

Posted on July 22, 2019 by turfcapper

What a long, hot, and almost grueling weekend of capping. Couldn’t have gotten much weirder with the heat cancellations on the East Coast and Monmouth’s disastrous Haskell Delay on Saturday. After all that, I scored out on playback Lostintranzlation in … Continue reading →

Posted in Del Mar, Handicapping, Horses, Saratoga Race Course | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

2019 Belmont Stakes Recap and Notes

Posted on June 10, 2019 by turfcapper

Some days are better than others.  My top pick of Tacitus did not quite work out as planned.  He ran well, but was hung wide all the way around and finished second.   The Trakus data below backs this up: (Screengrab … Continue reading →

Posted in Belmont, Handicapping, Horses, Preakness, Triple Crown, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Metropolitan Mile Is All Class

Posted on June 8, 2019 by turfcapper

What is class ? To me, class is not only the ability to run a big number, but the ability to do so under various conditions, competition and circumstances. That will be tested in today’s Met mile where many of … Continue reading →

Posted in Belmont, Handicapping, Horses | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

It’s Tacitus  . . . . unless it isn’t

Posted on June 6, 2019 by turfcapper

I’ve been waiting to bet-back on Tacitus in the Belmont, almost since before the Kentucky Derby.  I had him pegged as one of the ones for the Derby, but all along I had a sneaking suspicion that Tacitus was on … Continue reading →

Posted in Belmont, Handicapping, Horses, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 1 Comment